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Appendix G Sampling Design
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NATIONAL CENTER FOR EDUCATION STATISTICS NATIONAL ASSESSMENT OF EDUCATIONAL PROGRESS Appendix G NAEP 2011 Sample Design Request for Clearance for NAEP Assessments for 2017-2019 OMB# 1850-NEW v.1 (previous OMB# 1850-0790 v.43) July 29, 2016 1 of 91 NAEP Technical Documentation Website NAEP 2011 Sample Design The sample design for NAEP 2011 included samples for various operational, special study, and pilot test assessments. Representative samples were drawn for the following operational assessments: 2011 State Assessment Sample Design 2011 National Assessment Sample Design national assessments in mathematics and reading in public and private schools at grades 4 and 8; national assessments in computer-based writing (WCBA) in public and private schools at grades 8 and 12; national assessments in science in public and private schools at grade 8; state-by-state and Trial Urban District Assessments (TUDA) assessments in mathematics and reading in public schools at grades 4 and 8; and state-by-state assessments in science in public schools at grade 8. Representative samples were drawn for the following special study and pilot test assessments: mathematics computer-based study (MCBS) in public schools at grade 8; study to examine a direct link between NAEP and Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS) in public schools at grade 8; Special mathematics assessment in Puerto Rico in public and private schools at grade 4 and in public schools at grade 8; and pilot tests in reading and mathematics in public and private schools at grade 4, in reading and mathematics in public schools at grade 8, and in economics in public schools at grade 12. The samples for the operational assessments were organized into four distinct components and sampled separately. The samples for the special studies and pilot tests were integrated into these various components. mathematics, reading, and science assessments of fourth- and eighth-grade students in public schools; mathematics, reading, and science assessments of fourth-grade and eighth-grade students in private schools; computer-based writing assessments and mathematics study of eighth-grade and twelfth-grade students in public schools; and computer-based writing assessments of eighth-grade and twelfth-grade students in private schools. The national assessments were designed to achieve nationally representative samples of public and private school students in the fourth, eighth, and twelfth grades. Their target populations included all students in public, private, Bureau of Indian Education (BIE), and Department of Defense Education Activity (DoDEA) schools, who were enrolled in fourth, eighth, and twelfth grades, respectively, at the time of assessment. For the fourth- and eighth-grade mathematics, reading, and science assessments in public schools, the NAEP state student samples and assessments constitute the NAEP national student samples and assessments. Nationally representative samples were drawn for the remaining populations of private school students in fourth and eighth grades. The TUDA samples formed part of the corresponding state public school samples, and the state samples formed the public school grade 4 and 8 part of the national sample. The mathematics, reading, and science samples were based on a two-stage sample design: selection of schools within strata, and selection of students within schools. The computer-based writing and mathematics samples were based on a three-stage sample design: selection of primary sampling units (PSUs), selection of schools within strata, and selection of students within schools. In the three-stage design, schools were stratified and selected within the sampled PSUs. The samples of schools were selected with probability proportional to a measure of size based on the estimated grade-specific enrollment in the schools for both designs. The state assessments were designed to achieve representative samples of students in the fourth and eighth grades. Their target populations included all students in each participating jurisdiction, which included states, District of Columbia, BIE, DoDEA, and school districts chosen for the TUDA assessments. Each sample was designed to produce aggregate estimates with reliable precision for all the participating jurisdictions, as well as estimates for various student subpopulations of interest. At grades 4 and 8, all BIE schools were included in the mathematics, reading, and science assessments. Also, public schools with relatively high American Indian/Alaska Native populations were oversampled in six states (Arizona, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oregon, Utah, and Washington). This was designed to enhance the reporting of results for American Indian students at the state level in those states with a sizable proportion of the nation's American Indian students for the National Indian Education Study (NIES), which was conducted in conjunction with NAEP. All states participated in the mathematics, reading, and science assessments. By design, only BIE schools did not participate in the state science assessment, as it lacked the required number of students for the state science assessment. A small portion of students received the science assessment in BIE schools in science to supplement the national science sample. The District of Columbia, which generally does not have enough students for an assessment in a third subject, also participated in the grade 8 science assessment. To accomplish this, each student in the District of Columbia was assigned to two of the three assessment subjects and thus tested twice over two days. The figure below illustrates the various sample types and subjects. Components of the NAEP 2011 samples, by assessment subject, grade, and school type: 2011 NOTE: View an accessible version of this figure. SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 Assessments. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_sampdsgn.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 2 of 91 Components of the NAEP samples, by assessment subject, school type, and grade: 2011 Components of the NAEP 2011 samples, by assessment subject, school type, and grade: 2011 Assessment Grade 4 8 Reading Mathematics Science WCBA (1) (3) (1) (3) (1) (3) (1) (3) (1) (3) (2) (3) (2) (3) 12 1Public/Bureau of Indian Education (BIE)/Department of Defense Education Activity (DoDEA). 2Public. 3Private. NOTE: WCBA = Writing computer-based assessment. SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 Assessments. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/sampdsgn_2011_accessible.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 3 of 91 Sample Design for the 2011 National Assessment The 2011 national assessment included the following components: mathematics and reading assessments in public and private schools at grades 4 and 8; writing computer-based assessment (WCBA) in public and private schools at grades 8 and 12; science assessments in public and private schools at grade 8. The sample design aimed to achieve a nationally representative sample of students in the defined populations who were enrolled at the time of assessment. The mathematics and reading samples were based on a two-stage sample design: selection of schools within strata, and selection of students within schools. Fourth- and Eighth-Grade Public School Assessments Fourth- and Eighth-Grade Private School National Assessment Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA) and Mathematics Computer-Based Study (MCBS) The computer-based writing and mathematics samples were based on a three-stage sample design: selection of primary sampling units (PSUs), selection of schools within strata, and selection of students within schools. The samples of schools were selected with probability proportional to a measure of size based on the estimated grade-specific enrollment in the schools. For the mathematics, reading, and science assessments in fourth- and eighth-grade public schools, the NAEP state student samples and assessments constitute the NAEP national student samples and assessments. Nationally representative samples were drawn for the remaining populations of private school students in fourth and eighth grades. By design, only Bureau of Indian Education (BIE) schools did not participate in the state science assessment, as it lacked the required number of students for the state science assessment. A small portion of students received the science assessment in BIE schools in science to supplement the national science sample. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_main.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 4 of 91 2011 Fourth- and Eighth-Grade Private School National Assessment The private school samples were designed to produce nationally representative samples of students enrolled in private schools in the United States. Fourth- and eighth-grade students were assessed in mathematics and reading. Target Population Private school students were sampled for the eighth-grade national science assessment at a very low rate. The three operational subjects (reading, mathematics, science) were sampled in the ratio of 9:9:1. This ensured enough private school sample to report a national science result, but does not support breakdowns by type of private school. Sampling Frame Reading pilots and a special mathematics assessment in Puerto Rico were also conducted in the private school samples for fourth grade. Stratification of Schools Oversampling of private schools at grades 4 and 8, last implemented in 2005, was reintroduced. Response rates permitting, allowed separate reporting for reading and mathematics, for Catholic, Lutheran, Conservative Christian, and other private schools. The target sample sizes of assessed students for each grade and subject are shown in the table below. Prior to sampling, these target sample sizes were adjusted upward to offset expected rates of school and student attrition due to nonresponse and ineligibility. School Sample Selection Substitute Schools Ineligible Schools Student Sample Selection School and Student Participation Target sample sizes of assessed students, private school national assessment, by subject and grade: 2011 Grade Total 4 8 Total Mathematics Mathematics pilot Reading Reading pilot Science Special mathematics assessment 25,240 12,570 12,670 12,000 6,000 6,000 200 200 † 12,000 6,000 6,000 220 220 † 670 † 670 150 150 † † Not applicable. SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 National Assessment. Samples were based on a two-stage design that involved selection of schools within strata and selection of students within schools. The first-stage samples of schools were selected with probability proportional to a measure of size based on the estimated grade-specific enrollment in the schools. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_priv_gr_4_8.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 5 of 91 Ineligible Schools for the 2011 Private School National Assessment The Private School Universe Survey (PSS) school file, from which most of the sampled schools were drawn, corresponds to the 2007-2008 school year, 3 years prior to the assessment school year. During the intervening period, some of these schools either closed, no longer offered the grade of interest, or were ineligible for other reasons. In such cases, the sampled schools were coded as ineligible. Eligibility Status of Sampled Schools by Grade and Private School Type Ineligible Sampled Schools by Ineligibility Type http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_delta_inelg.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 6 of 91 Eligibility Status of Sampled Schools for the 2011 Private School National Assessment The following table presents a breakdown by private school type of ineligible and eligible schools in the fourth- and eighth-grade private school samples. There are considerable differences across private school types at grades 4 and 8. Schools whose private school type was unknown at the time of sampling subsequently had their affiliation determined during data collection. Therefore, such schools are not broken out separately. Eligibility status of sampled private schools, national assessment, by grade and private school type: 2011 Fourth grade Private school type Eligibility status All private Eighth grade Count Percentage Count Percentage Total Ineligible Eligible 748 102 646 100.00 13.64 86.36 930 126 804 100.00 13.55 86.45 Catholic Total Ineligible Eligible 264 26 238 100.00 9.85 90.15 332 26 306 100.00 7.83 92.17 Non-Catholic Total Ineligible Eligible 484 76 408 100.00 15.70 84.30 598 100 498 100.00 16.72 83.28 Lutheran Total Ineligible Eligible 107 8 99 100.00 7.48 92.52 141 7 134 100.00 4.96 95.04 Conservative Christian Total Ineligible Eligible 123 17 106 100.00 13.82 86.18 150 22 128 100.00 14.67 85.33 Other private Total Ineligible Eligible 254 51 203 100.00 20.08 79.92 307 71 236 100.00 23.13 76.87 SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 National Assessment. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_delta_inel_elig_status.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 7 of 91 Ineligible Sampled Private Schools for the 2011 National Assessment The table below presents unweighted counts of sampled schools, by grade and eligibility status, for the private school samples. NAEP sample private schools, national assessment, by grade and eligibility status: 2011 Grade and eligibility status Unweighted count of schools Unweighted percentage All fourth-grade sampled private schools Eligible Has sampled grade, but no eligible students Does not have sampled grade Closed Not a regular school Duplicate on sampling frame Other ineligible 748 646 14 22 55 7 2 2 100.00 86.36 1.87 2.94 7.35 0.94 0.27 0.27 All eighth-grade sampled private schools Eligible Has sampled grade, but no eligible students Does not have sampled grade Closed Not a regular school Duplicate on sampling frame Other ineligible 930 804 19 26 52 19 4 6 100.00 86.45 2.04 2.80 5.59 2.04 0.43 0.65 SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 National Assessment. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_delta_inelgtype.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 8 of 91 Sampling Frame for the 2011 Private School National Assessment The frame of the private schools in all three grades was developed from the 2007-2008 Private School Universe Survey (PSS), a survey conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau for the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES). The PSS is a biennial mail survey of all private schools in the 50 states and the District of Columbia. The PSS frame of schools comprises both a list frame and an area frame. The 2007-2008 list frame is an assembly of the 2005-2006 PSS frame and more up-to-date lists from state education agencies, private school associations, and other easily accessible sources. To improve the coverage of the PSS list frame, the Census Bureau also conducted a survey to locate private schools in a random sample of geographic areas throughout the United States. The areas were single counties or groups of counties sampled from an area frame constructed from all counties in the nation. Within each selected area a complete list of private schools was gathered using information from the Yellow Pages, religious institutions, local education agencies, chambers of commerce, and local government offices. Schools not already on the list frame were identified and added to the frame of private schools. A weighting component was computed by the Census Bureau so that the additional area-frame schools would represent all schools absent from the list frame, not just those in the selected areas. The sampling frame excluded schools that were ungraded, provided only special education, were part of hospital or treatment center programs, were juvenile correctional institutions, were home-school entities, or were for adult education. Fourth- and Eighth-Grade Schools and Enrollment in the Private School Sampling Frame New-School Sampling Frame for the Private School Assessment Private school affiliation is unknown for nonrespondents to the PSS. Because oversampling was desired to report by affiliation, additional work was done to obtain affiliation for nonrespondents to the PSS. If a nonresponding school responded to a previous PSS (either two or four years prior), affiliation was obtained from the previous response. For those schools that were nonrespondents for the last three cycles of the PSS, in some cases Internet research was used to establish affiliation. There were still schools with unknown affiliation remaining after this process. For quality control purposes, school and student counts from the 2011 sampling frame were compared to school and student counts from previous NAEP frames (2009 and 2007). No major issues were found. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_delta_sampfrme.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 9 of 91 Fourth- and Eighth-Grade Schools and Enrollment in the 2011 Private School Sampling Frame The following table displays, by grade and affiliation, the number of private schools in the sampling frame and their estimated enrollment. Enrollment was estimated for each school as the Private School Universe Survey (PSS)--reported enrollment averaged across grades 1 through 8. The counts presented below are of schools with known affiliation. Schools with unknown affiliation do not appear in the table because their grade span, affiliation, and enrollment were unknown. Although PSS is a school universe survey, participation is voluntary and not all private schools respond. Since the NAEP sample must represent all private schools, not just PSS respondents, a small sample of PSS nonrespondents with unknown affiliation was selected for each of the targeted grades to improve NAEP coverage. Number of schools and enrollment in private school sampling frame, national assessment, by affiliation and grade: 2011 Grade Affiliation Number of schools Estimated enrollment 4 Total Catholic Non-Catholic private Lutheran Conservative Christian Other private 20,110 5,974 14,136 1,374 4,080 8,682 383,849 171,054 212,795 18,086 61,504 133,205 8 Total Catholic Non-Catholic private Lutheran Conservative Christian Other private 17,968 5,465 12,503 1,166 3,636 7,701 369,381 170,509 198,872 16,579 57,363 124,930 SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 National Assessment. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_delta_sampfrme_gr_4_8.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 10 of 91 New-School Sampling Frame for the 2011 Private School Assessments Whereas the Private School Universe Survey (PSS) file used for the frame corresponds to the 2007-2008 school year, the NAEP assessment year was the 2010-2011 school year. During this 3-year period, some schools closed, some changed their grade span, and still others came into existence. To achieve as close to full coverage as possible, the private school frame was supplemented by a sample of new Catholic schools. The goal was to allow every such school a chance of selection, thereby fully covering the target population of Catholic schools in operation during the 2010-2011 school year. The first step in this process was the development of a new-school frame through the construction of a diocese-level file from the PSS school-level file. To develop the frame, the diocese-level file was divided into two files: one for small dioceses and the other for medium and large dioceses. Small dioceses contained no more than three schools on the frame in total, with no more than one school at each grade (fourth, eighth, and twelfth). New schools in small dioceses were identified during school recruitment and added to the sample if the old school in the same diocese was sampled at the relevant grade. From a sampling perspective, the new school was viewed as an “annex” to the sampled school that had a well-defined probability of selection equal to that of the old school. The “frame” in this case was, in fact, the original frame; when the old school was sampled in a small diocese, the new school was automatically sampled as well. To limit respondent burden and keep the level of effort within reasonable bounds, the new-school frame was created using information obtained from a sample of the remaining dioceses. The remaining dioceses were separated into two strata of large- and medium-size dioceses. These strata were defined by computing the percentage of the nation’s total Catholic school enrollment each diocese represents, sorting the dioceses in descending order by that percentage, and cumulating the percentages across the sorted file. All dioceses up to and including the first diocese at or above the 80th cumulative percentage were defined as large dioceses. The remaining dioceses were defined as medium dioceses. A simplified example is given below. Dioceses are ordered by percentage enrollment. The first six become large dioceses and the last six become medium dioceses. Example showing assignment of Catholic dioceses to the large and medium strata, private school national assessment: 2011 Diocese Diocese 1 Diocese 2 Diocese 3 Diocese 4 Diocese 5 Diocese 6 Diocese 7 Diocese 8 Diocese 9 Diocese 10 Diocese 11 Diocese 12 Percent enrollment Cumulative percentage enrollment Stratum 20 20 15 10 10 10 5 2 2 2 2 2 20 40 55 65 75 85 90 92 94 96 98 100 L L L L L L M M M M M M SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 National Assessment. In actuality, there were 71 large and 103 medium dioceses in the sampling frame. The target sample size was 10 dioceses total: 8 large and 2 medium. In the medium stratum, the dioceses were selected with equal probability. In the large stratum, dioceses were sampled with probability proportional to enrollment. These probabilities were retained and used in all later stages of sampling and weighting in order to represent all dioceses, whether or not they had been selected as new school samples for the assessment. Each selected diocese was sent a listing of its schools extracted from the 2007-2008 PSS file and was asked to provide information about new schools and any changes to grade span in existing schools. This information provided by the selected dioceses was used to create sampling frames for the selection of new Catholic schools. The process of obtaining the information was conducted with the help of the National Catholic Educational Association (NCEA). NCEA was sent the school lists for the 10 sampled dioceses and was responsible for returning the completed updates. The eligibility of a new school at a particular grade was determined by its grade span. A school already on PSS also was classified as “new” if a change of grade span had occurred such that the school status changed from ineligible to eligible at a particular grade. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_delta_newschoolframe_4_8.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 11 of 91 Sampling of Schools for the 2011 Private School National Assessment The private school samples were selected with probability proportional to size using systematic sampling from a sorted list. A school's measure of size was a complex function of the school's estimated grade enrollment. For the eighth grade sample, multiple "hits" were allowed per school, but this was not the case for the fourth grade sample. Computation of Measures of Size Schools were ordered within each school type using a serpentine sort involving the following variables: School Sample Sizes: Frame and New School census division, urbanicity classification (based on urban-centric locale), race/ethnicity status, and estimated grade enrollment. A systematic sample was then drawn with probability proportional to size using this serpentine sorted list and the measures of size. Schools with unknown affiliation were treated separately. A sample of about 30 schools with unknown affiliation was selected at each of the two grades. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_delta_schlsamp.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 12 of 91 Computation of Measures of Size There were five objectives underlying the process for determining the probability of selection for each school and for setting the number of students to be sampled within each selected school: to meet the target student sample size for each grade; to select an equal-probability sample of students; to limit the number of students selected from any one school; to ensure that the sample within a school does not include a very high percentage of the students in the school, unless all students are included; and to reduce the rate of sampling of small schools, in recognition of the greater cost and burden per student of conducting assessments in such schools. The goal in determining the school's measure of size is to optimize across the last four objectives in terms of maintaining the precision of estimates and the cost effectiveness of the sample design. The following algorithm was used to assign a measure of size to each school based on its estimated grade-specific enrollment. In the formulas below, xjs refers to the estimated grade enrollment for private school type j and school s and Ps is a primary sampling unit (PSU) weight associated with the private school universe (PSS) area sample. The preliminary measures of size (MOS) were set as follows: The preliminary school measure of size was rescaled to create an expected number of hits by applying a multiplicative constant bj, which varies by grade and school type. The private school sample design allowed multiple “hits.” For example, a school with two hits will have twice as many students sampled as a single-hit school, etc. To limit respondent burden, constraints were placed on the number of hits allowed per school. For grade 4 it was one hit, and for grade 8 it was two. It follows that the final measure of size, Ejs, was defined as: where uj is the maximum number of hits allowed. The school's probability of selection πjs was given by: One can choose a value of bj such that the expected overall student sample yield matches the desired targets specified by the design, where the expected yield is calculated by summing the product of an individual school’s probability and its student sample yield across all schools in the frame. In addition, new and newly eligible Catholic schools were sampled from the new-school frame. The assigned measures of size for these schools, , used the bj and uj values from the main school sample for the grade and school type (i.e., the same sampling rates as for the main school sample). The variable πdjs is the probability of selection of the diocese into the new-school diocese (d) sample. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_delta_schlsamp_mos.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 13 of 91 School Sample Sizes: Frame and New School The following table presents the number of schools selected from the private school sampling frame (constructed from the Private School Universe Survey file) and the new-school sampling frame, for grades 4 and 8, by school type. NAEP private school frame-based and new school samples, by grade and school type: 2011 Grade 4 8 Total school sample Frame school sample New school sample All private Catholic Non-Catholic Lutheran Conservative Christian Other private Unknown affiliation Private school type 264 484 109 120 230 25 260 484 109 120 230 25 4 0 0 0 0 0 All private Catholic Non-Catholic Lutheran Conservative Christian Other private Unknown affiliation 330 600 141 148 285 26 323 600 141 148 285 26 7 0 0 0 0 0 SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 National Assessment. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_delta_schlsamp_sampsize.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 14 of 91 School and Student Participation Rates for the 2011 Private School National Assessment Private school participation in NAEP is not mandatory. The 2011 assessment holds true to the historic pattern of having higher rates of participation among Catholic and Lutheran schools than among Conservative Christian and other private schools. Although a portion of the participating school sample consisted of substitute schools, it is preferable to calculate school response rates on the basis of school participation before substitution. In every NAEP survey, some of the sampled students are not assessed for the following reasons: withdrawn students, excluded students with disabilities (SD), excluded English language learner (ELL) students, or students absent from both the original session and the makeup session (not excluded but not assessed). Withdrawn students are those who have left the school before the original assessment. Excluded students were determined by their school to be unable to meaningfully take the NAEP assessment in their assigned subject, even with an accommodation. Excluded students must also be classified as SD and/or ELL. Other students who were absent for the initial session are assessed in the makeup session. The last category includes students who were not excluded (i.e., “were to be assessed”) but were not assessed either due to absence from both sessions or because of a refusal to participate. Assessed students are also classified as assessed without an accommodation or assessed with an accommodation. The latter group can be divided into SD students assessed with an accommodation, ELL students assessed with an accommodation, or students who are both SD and ELL and accommodated. Note that some SD and ELL students are assessed without accommodations, and students who are neither SD nor ELL can only be assessed without an accommodation. School Response Rates Weighted Student Response and Exclusion Rates for Mathematics Weighted Student Response and Exclusion Rates for Reading Weighted Student Response and Exclusion Rates for Science The weighted response rates utilize the student base weights and indicate the weighted percentage of assessed students among all students to be assessed. The exclusion rates, in contrast, provide the weighted percentage of excluded SD or ELL students among all absent, assessed, and excluded students. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_delta_schl_and_stud_part.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 15 of 91 School Response Rates for the 2011 Private School National Assessment The following table presents counts of eligible sampled schools and participating schools, as well as weighted school response rates, for the private school samples in which the mathematics and reading operational assessments were conducted. The weighted school response rates estimate the proportion of the student population that is represented by the participating school sample prior to substitution. Private school response rates, national assessment, by school type and grade: 2011 Grade Private school type Eligible sampled schools Participating schools, including substitutes Weighted school response rate prior to substitution (percent) 4 All private Catholic Non-Catholic Lutheran Conservative Christian Other private 646 238 408 99 106 203 557 236 321 97 94 130 73.51 96.27 55.34 94.87 73.13 42.23 8 All private Catholic Non-Catholic Lutheran Conservative Christian Other private 804 306 498 134 127 237 696 299 397 129 114 154 74.40 93.23 57.54 92.73 72.51 45.71 NOTE: Detail may not sum to total due to rounding. Percentages are based on unrounded counts. SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 National Assessment. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_delta_schresp_rates.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 16 of 91 Weighted Student Response and Exclusion Rates for the 2011 Private School National Mathematics Assessment The following table presents the weighted student response and exclusion rates for the mathematics assessment. The exclusion rates give the percentage of students excluded among all eligible students. Excluded students must be either students with disabilities (SD) or English language learner (ELL). The response rates indicate the percentage of students assessed among those who were intended to take the assessment from within the participating schools. Thus, students who were excluded are not included in the denominators of the response rates. Weighted student response and exclusion rates for private schools, national mathematics assessment, by school type and grade: 2011 Grade Private school type Weighted student response rate Weighted percentage of all students who are SD and excluded Weighted percentage of all students who are ELL and excluded 4 All private Catholic Non-Catholic Lutheran Conservative Christian Other private 95.55 95.85 95.19 96.63 93.90 95.70 0.18 0.22 0.15 0.36 0.30 0.05 0.12 0.03 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.32 8 All private Catholic Non-Catholic Lutheran Conservative Christian Other private 94.77 95.05 94.43 96.30 94.50 94.02 0.44 0.46 0.42 0.33 0.29 0.49 0.06 0.07 0.05 0.00 0.17 0.00 SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 Mathematics Assessment. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_delta_studresp_math.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 17 of 91 Weighted Student Response and Exclusion Rates for the 2011 Private School National Reading Assessment The following table presents the weighted student response and exclusion rates for the reading assessment. The exclusion rates give the percentage of students excluded among all eligible students. Excluded students must necessarily be either students with disabilities (SD) or English language learners (ELL). The response rates indicate the percentage of students assessed among those who were intended to take the assessment from within the participating schools. Thus, students who were excluded are not included in the denominators of the response rates. Weighted student response and exclusion rates for private schools, national reading assessment, by school type and grade: 2011 Grade Private school type Weighted student response rate Weighted percentage of all students who are SD and excluded Weighted percentage of all students who are ELL and excluded 4 All private Catholic Non-Catholic Lutheran Conservative Christian Other private 95.16 95.49 94.77 96.27 95.48 93.99 0.30 0.30 0.30 1.17 0.00 0.31 0.22 0.18 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.42 8 All private Catholic Non-Catholic Lutheran Conservative Christian Other private 94.80 95.36 94.11 95.19 93.72 94.13 0.40 0.30 0.50 0.48 0.08 0.69 0.07 0.09 0.06 0.00 0.20 0.00 SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 Reading Assessment. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_delta_studresp_read.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 18 of 91 Weighted Student Response and Exclusion Rates for the 2011 Private School National Science Assessment The following table presents the weighted student response and exclusion rates for the grade 8 national science assessment. The exclusion rates give the percentage of students excluded among all eligible students. Excluded students must necessarily be either students with disabilities (SD) or English language learners (ELL). The response rates indicate the percentage of students assessed among those who were intended to take the assessment from within the participating schools. Thus, students who were excluded are not included in the denominators of the response rates. Weighted student response and exclusion rates for private schools, grade 8 science assessment, by school type: 2011 Private school type All private Catholic Non-Catholic Weighted student response rate Weighted percentage of all students who are SD and excluded Weighted percentage of all students who are ELL and excluded 93.86 94.27 93.34 0.18 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 National Science Assessment. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_delta_studresp_science.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 19 of 91 Stratification of Schools in the 2011 Private School National Assessment Explicit stratification for the NAEP 2011 private school samples was by private school type: Catholic, Lutheran, Conservative Christian, Other Private, and unknown affiliation. Private school affiliation was unknown for nonrespondents to the NCES Private School Universe Survey (PSS) for the past three cycles. The implicit stratification of the schools involved four dimensions. Within each explicit stratum, the private schools were hierarchically sorted by census division, urbanicity status, race/ethnicity status, and estimated grade enrollment. The implicit stratification in this four-fold hierarchical stratification was achieved via a "serpentine sort." Census division was used as the first level of implicit stratification for the NAEP 2011 private school sample. Collapsing of census division varied by grade. For grade 4, all nine census divisions were used for stratifying Catholic and other private schools. However, due to small cell sizes, divisions in the Northeast and Midwest were collapsed within census regions for Conservative Christian schools. For Lutheran schools, a South Central stratum was created within the southern region and divisions were collapsed across regions to create an East Coast stratum. For grade 8, all census divisions were used to stratify Catholic and other private schools. Divisions in the Northeast were collapsed within region for both Conservative Christian and Lutheran schools. Additionally for Lutheran schools, two divisions were collapsed within the southern region to create a South Central stratum. The next level of stratification was an urbanicity classification based on urban-centric locale, as specified on the PSS. Within a census division-based stratum, urban-centric locale cells that were too small were collapsed. The criterion for adequacy was that the cell had to have an expected school sample size of at least six. The urbanicity variable was equal to the original urban-centric locale if no collapsing was necessary to cover an inadequate original cell. If collapsing was necessary, the scheme was to first collapse within the four major strata (city, suburbs, town, and rural). For example, if the expected number of large city schools sampled was less than six, large city was collapsed with midsize city. If the collapsed cell was still inadequate, they were further collapsed with small city. If a major stratum cell (all three cells collapsed together) was still deficient, it was collapsed with a neighboring major stratum cell. For example, city would be collapsed with suburbs. The last stage of stratification was a division of the geographic/urbanicity strata into race/ethnicity strata if the expected number of schools sampled was large enough (i.e., at least equal to 12). This was done by deciding first on the number of race/ethnicity strata and then dividing the geography/urbanicity stratum into that many pieces. The school frame was sorted by the percentage of students in each school who were Black, Hispanic, or American Indian. The three race/ethnic groups defining the race/ethnicity strata were those that have historically performed substantially lower on NAEP assessments than White students. The sorted list was then divided into pieces, with roughly an equal expected number of sampled schools in each piece. Finally, schools were sorted within stratification cells by estimated grade enrollment. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_delta_strat.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 20 of 91 Student Sample Selection for the 2011 Private School National Assessment The target student sample size within sampled schools for the fourth and eighth grades was 63 students. However, schools with 70 or fewer students automatically had all students sampled. In addition, at grade 4 only, a school that had more than 70 students but fewer than 121 could choose to have all students sampled. There was only one spiral type for each grade. The percentage of booklets by subject within the spiral for each grade is given below. Percentage of booklets, private school national assessment, by subject within the spiral and grade: 2011 Grade 4 8 Mathematics Reading Science KaSA Pilot 46.96 48.34 48.62 46.69 † 4.97 1.55 † 2.87 † † Not applicable. SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 National Assessment. The process of student list submission, sampling students from year-round schools, sampling new enrollees, and determining student eligibility and exclusion status was the same as for the state NAEP student sample. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_delta_studsamp.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 21 of 91 Substitute Schools for the 2011 Private School National Assessment Substitutes were preselected for the private school samples by sorting the school frame file according to the actual order used in the sampling process (the implicit stratification). Each sampled school had its two nearest neighbors on the school frame file identified as potential substitutes. As the last sort ordering was by grade enrollment, the nearest neighbors had grade enrollment values very close to that of the sampled school. Schools were disqualified as potential substitutes if they were already selected in the private school sample or assigned as a substitute for another private school (earlier in the sort ordering). Schools assigned as substitutes for eighth-grade schools were disqualified as potential substitutes for fourth-grade schools. If both nearest neighbors were still eligible to be substitutes, the one with the closer grade enrollment was chosen. If both nearest neighbors had the same grade enrollment (an uncommon occurrence), one of the two was randomly selected. In the process described above, only schools with the same affiliation were selected as substitutes. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_delta_subs.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 22 of 91 Target Population for the 2011 Private School National Assessment The target population for the 2011 Private School National Assessment included all students enrolled in private schools in grades 4 and 8 within the 50 states and the District of Columbia. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_delta_targpop.aspx Sampling Frame for the Private School National Assessment 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 23 of 91 2011 Fourth- and Eighth-Grade Public School National Assessment For the mathematics, reading, and science assessments in fourth- and eighth-grade public schools, the national samples were the state assessment samples for each jurisdiction. All states participated in the mathematics, reading, and science assessments. By design, only Bureau of Indian Education (BIE) schools did not participate in the state science assessment, as it lacked the required number of students for the state science assessment. A small portion of students received the science assessment in BIE schools in science to supplement the national science sample. Additional details of the national science sample are also described as part of the state assessment samples. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_pub_gr_4_8.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 24 of 91 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA) The sample design for the NAEP 2011 writing computer-based assessment (WCBA) provided a nationally representative sample of eighth- and twelfth-grade students. This was accomplished by designing separate sample components for public and private schools. The selected samples were based on a three-stage sample design: selection of primary sampling units (PSUs), selection of schools within strata, and selection of students within schools. The samples of schools were selected with probability proportional to a measure of size based on the estimated eighth- and twelfth-grade enrollment in the schools. The target population respectively included all students in public and private schools, Bureau of Indian Education (BIE) schools, and Department of Defense Education Activity (DoDEA) schools in the 50 states and the District of Columbia, who were enrolled in the eighth and twelfth grade at the time of assessment. Selection of Primary Sampling Units Public School 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA) Private School 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA) School and Student Participation Results for the 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment The table below shows the target student sample sizes of assessed students for each sample. Target student sample sizes of assessed students for grades 8 and 12, writing computer-based assessment (WCBA), by school type: 2011 School type Grade Target student sample size Public 8,12 19,800 Private 8,12 2,200 SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 National Writing Computer-Based Assessment. To reduce the burden on any particular school, efforts were made to minimize the overlap between the 2011 PSU sample and all other PSU samples selected for NAEP since 2006. The school samples were designed to have minimum overlap with both the United States school sample for the Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS), and the NAEP 2011 state sample. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_wcba.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 25 of 91 Private School 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA) The NAEP 2011 writing computer-based assessment (WCBA) sample design yielded nationally representative samples of private school students in grades 8 and 12 through a three-stage approach: selection of primary sampling units (PSUs), selection of schools within strata, and selection of students within schools. The sample of schools was selected with probability proportional to a measure of size based on the estimated grade enrollment in the schools. Target Population The 2011 national WCBA sampling plan had a goal of assessing 2,200 eighth-graders and 2,200 twelfth-graders. Target sample sizes were adjusted to reflect expected private school and student response and eligibility. Stratification of Schools Sampling Frame Sampling of Schools Schools on the sampling frame were explicitly stratified prior to sampling by private school affiliation (Catholic, non-Catholic, and unknown affiliation). Within affiliation type, schools were implicitly stratified by PSU type (certainty/noncertainty). In certainty PSUs, further stratification was by census region, urban-centric locale, and estimated grade enrollment. In noncertainty PSUs, additional stratification was by PSU stratum, urban-centric locale, and estimated grade enrollment. Substitute Schools From the stratified frame of private schools, systematic random samples of eighth- and twelfth-grade schools were drawn with probability proportional to a measure of size based on the estimated grade enrollment of the school in the relevant grade. Student Sample Selection Ineligible Schools Each selected school in the private school sample provided a list of eligible enrolled students from which a systematic, equal probability sample of students was drawn. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_priv_wbca.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 26 of 91 Ineligible Private Schools for the 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA) The Private School Universe Survey (PSS) school file from which most of the sampled schools were drawn corresponds to the 2007-2008 school year, 3 years prior to the assessment school year. During the intervening period, some of these schools either closed, no longer offered the grade of interest, or were ineligible for other reasons. In such cases, the sampled schools were coded as ineligible. The table below presents unweighted counts of sampled private schools by eligibility status, including the reason for ineligibility. Number of sampled private schools, writing computer-based assessment (WCBA), by eligibility status and grade: 2011 Eligibility status Unweighted count of schools Unweighted percentage All eighth-grade sampled private schools Eligible schools No eligible students in grade Does not have grade School closed Not a regular school Other ineligible school Duplicate on sampling frame 157 140 3 4 8 1 1 0 100.00 89.17 1.91 2.55 5.10 0.64 0.64 0.00 All twelfth-grade sampled private schools Eligible schools No eligible students in grade Does not have grade School closed Not a regular school Other ineligible school Duplicate on sampling frame 177 160 4 4 2 4 2 1 100.00 90.40 2.26 2.26 1.13 2.26 1.13 0.56 NOTE: Detail may not add up to totals due to rounding. Percentages are based on rounded counts. SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment. The table below presents unweighted counts of sample private schools by collapsed private school type and eligibility status. Number of sampled private schools, writing computer-based assessment (WCBA), by eligibility status and private school type: 2011 Private school type All eighth-grade sampled private schools Catholic Non-Catholic All twelfth-grade sampled private schools Catholic Non-Catholic Eligibility status Unweighted count of schools Unweighted percentage Total Eligible Ineligible Total Eligible Ineligible Total Eligible Ineligible 157 140 17 50 42 8 107 98 9 100.00 89.17 10.83 100.00 84.00 16.00 100.00 91.59 8.41 Total Eligible Ineligible Total Eligible Ineligible Total Eligible Ineligible 177 160 17 55 55 0 122 105 17 100.00 90.40 9.60 100.00 100.00 0.00 100.00 86.07 13.93 NOTE: Detail may not add up to totals due to rounding. Percentages are based on rounded counts. SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_priv_wcba_inelg.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 27 of 91 Sampling Frame for the Private School 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA) The sampling frame for private schools was developed from the 2007-2008 Private School Universe Survey (PSS), a survey conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau for the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES). The PSS is a biennial mail survey of all private schools in the 50 states and the District of Columbia. The PSS frame of schools comprises both a list frame and an area frame. The list frame is an assembly of the 2005-2006 PSS frame and more up-to-date lists from state education agencies, private school associations, and other easily accessible sources. To improve the coverage of the PSS list frame, the Census Bureau also conducted a survey to locate private schools in a random sample of geographic areas throughout the United States. The areas were single counties or groups of counties sampled from an area frame constructed from all counties in the nation. Within each selected area a complete list of private schools was gathered using information from telephone directories, religious institutions, local education agencies, chambers of commerce, and local government offices. Schools not already on the list frame were identified and added to the frame of private schools. A weighting component was computed by the Census Bureau so that the additional area-frame schools would represent all schools absent from the list frame, not just those in the selected areas. The sampling frame was restricted to schools located in the primary sampling units (PSUs) selected for the NAEP 2011 writing computer-based assessment (WCBA). In addition, the sampling frame excluded ungraded schools, vocational schools with no enrollment, special-education-only schools, homeschool entities, prison and hospital schools, and juvenile correctional institutions. For quality control purposes, school and student counts from the sampling frame were compared to school and student counts from previous private school frames by grade. No major discrepancies were found. Eighth- and Twelfth-Grade Schools and Enrollment in the Private School WCBA Sampling Frame New-School Sampling Frame for the Private School Writing Computer-Based Assessment http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_priv_wcba_sampfrme.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 28 of 91 Eighth- and Twelfth-Grade Schools and Enrollment in the Private School WCBA Sampling Frame The following table presents the number of schools and estimated enrollment for the private school frame for grades 8 and 12. These enrollment numbers include only those schools with known affiliation. The unweighted estimated enrollment is restricted to the selected primary sampling units (PSUs). The weighted estimated enrollment incorporates the PSU weight (inverse of the probability of selecting the PSU), as well as the Private School Universe Survey (PSS) weight, and thus is a national estimate of the number of private school students in each grade. Number of schools and enrollment in private school sampling frame for the writing computer-based assessment (WCBA), by school affiliation and grade: 2011 Grade Affiliation Number of schools Estimated enrollment (unweighted) Estimated enrollment (weighted) 8 Total Catholic Non-Catholic 9,366 3,438 5,928 234,221 112,863 121,358 374,445 169,638 204,807 12 Total Catholic Non-Catholic 4,539 780 3,759 213,828 111,164 102,664 338,291 158,660 179,631 SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_delta_sampfrme_gr_8_12_wcba.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 29 of 91 New-School Sampling Frame for the Private School Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA) Whereas the Private School Universe Survey (PSS) file used for the frame corresponds to the 2007-2008 school year, the NAEP assessment year was the 2010-2011 school year. During this 3-year period, some schools closed, some changed their grade span, and still others came into existence. To achieve as close to full coverage as possible, the private school frame for the writing computer-based assessment (WCBA) was supplemented by a sample of new Catholic schools. The goal was to allow every such school a chance of selection, thereby fully covering the target population of Catholic schools in operation during the 2010-2011 school year. The first step in this process was the development of a new-school frame through the construction of a diocese-level file from the PSS school-level file. To develop the frame, the diocese-level file was divided into two files: one for small dioceses and a second for medium and large dioceses. Small dioceses contained no more than three schools on the frame in total, with no more than one school at each grade (fourth, eighth, and twelfth). New schools in small dioceses were identified during school recruitment and added to the sample if the old school in the same diocese was sampled at the relevant grade. From a sampling perspective, the new school was viewed as an “annex” to the sampled school that had a well-defined probability of selection equal to that of the old school. The “frame” in this case was, in fact, the original frame; when the old school was sampled in a small diocese, the new school was automatically sampled as well. To limit respondent burden and keep the level of effort within reasonable bounds, the new-school frame was created using information obtained from a sample of the remaining dioceses. The remaining dioceses were separated into two strata of large- and medium-size dioceses. These strata were defined by computing the percentage of the nation’s total Catholic school enrollment each diocese represents, sorting the dioceses in descending order by that percentage, and cumulating the percentages across the sorted file. All dioceses up to and including the first diocese at or above the 80th cumulative percentage were defined as large dioceses. The remaining dioceses were defined as medium dioceses. A simplified example is given below. Dioceses are ordered by percentage enrollment. The first six become large dioceses and the last six become medium dioceses. Example showing assignment of Catholic dioceses to the large and medium strata, private school assessment: 2011 Diocese Diocese 1 Diocese 2 Diocese 3 Diocese 4 Diocese 5 Diocese 6 Diocese 7 Diocese 8 Diocese 9 Diocese 10 Diocese 11 Diocese 12 Percent enrollment Cumulative percentage enrollment Stratum 20 20 15 10 10 10 5 2 2 2 2 2 20 40 55 65 75 85 90 92 94 96 98 100 L L L L L L M M M M M M SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 National Assessment. In actuality there were 71 large and 103 medium dioceses in the sampling frame. The target sample size was 10 dioceses total: 8 large and 2 medium. In the medium stratum, the dioceses were selected with equal probability. In the large stratum, dioceses were sampled with probability proportional to enrollment. These probabilities were retained and used in all later stages of sampling and weighting in order to represent all dioceses, whether or not they had been sampled to be surveyed for new schools. Each selected diocese was sent a listing of its schools extracted from the 2007-2008 PSS file and was asked to provide information about new schools and any changes to grade span in existing schools. This information provided by the selected dioceses was used to create sampling frames for the selection of new Catholic schools. The process of obtaining the information was conducted with the help of the National Catholic Educational Association (NCEA). NCEA was sent the school lists for the 10 sampled dioceses and was responsible for returning the completed updates. The eligibility of a new school at a particular grade was determined by its grade span. A school already on PSS also was classified as “new” if a change of grade span had occurred such that the school status changed from ineligible to eligible at a particular grade. As was done for the original sampling frame, the new-school sampling frame was restricted to schools located in the primary sampling units (PSUs) selected for the NAEP 2011 WCBA. Weights for schools in the new-school sample were adjusted to account for the PSU selection probability. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_delta_newschoolframe_wcba.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 30 of 91 Sampling of Private Schools for the 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA) The writing computer-based assessment (WCBA) private school sample was selected with probability proportional to size using systematic sampling from a sorted list. A school's measure of size was a complex function of the school's estimated grade enrollment. Schools were ordered within each grade using the serpentine sort described under the stratification of private schools. A systematic sample was then drawn using this serpentine sorted list and the measures of size. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_priv_wcba_schlsamp.aspx Computation of Measures of Size for the 2011 Private School Writing Computer-Based Assessment School Sample Sizes for 2011 Private School Writing Computer-Based Assessment: Frame and New School 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 31 of 91 Computation of Measures of Size for the 2011 Private School Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA) In the design of each school sample, five objectives underlie the process of determining the probability of selection for each school and how many students are to be sampled from each selected school containing grade-eligible students: to meet the target student sample size; to select an equal-probability sample of students; to limit the number of students who are selected from a school; to ensure that the sample within a school does not include a very high percentage of the students in the school, unless all students are included; and to reduce the rate of sampling of small schools, in recognition of the greater cost and burden per student of conducting assessments in such schools. The goal in determining the school's measure of size is to optimize across the last four objectives in terms of maintaining the accuracy of estimates and the cost-effectiveness of the sample design. The following algorithm was used to assign a measure of size to each school based on its estimated grade enrollment as indicated on the sampling frame. The measures of size vary by enrollment size. The initial measures of size (MOS) were set as follows, for both eighth and twelfth grades: where Xjs is the estimated grade enrollment for grade j (j = 8, 12) in school s, PSCHWTs= the Private School Universe Survey (PSS) area frame weight for school s, computed by the U.S. Census Bureau, and PSU_WTs = the primary sampling unit (PSU) weight for school s. An adjustment to the initial measure of size was made for some schools. Schools in the PSU containing Honolulu County had their measure of size increased by a factor of two in order to double their probability of selection. The school measure of size was then rescaled to create an expected number of hits by applying a multiplicative constant bj, which varies by grade and school type. For the national WCBA sample, by design, a school could not be selected or "hit" in the sampling process more than once. The rescaled measure of size, Ejs, was defined as: For grade 8 only, a final adjustment was made to the measures of size (Ejs) in the national sample to attempt to reduce school burden by minimizing the number of schools that were selected for simultaneous administration of the WCBA, the operational private school assessments (mathematics, reading, and science), and the Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS). The NAEP 2011 studies for grade 8 used an adaptation of the Keyfitz process to compute conditional measures of size that, by their design, minimized the overlap of schools selected for the three types of assessment. Grade 12 did not have any operational assessments or a TIMSS sample in 2011. The school's probability of selection πjs was given by: One can choose a value of bj such that the expected overall student sample yield matches the desired targets specified by the design, where the expected yield is calculated by summing the product of an individual school’s probability and its student sample yield across all schools in the frame. In addition, new and newly eligible schools were sampled from the new-school frame. The assigned measures of size for these schools, used the bj value from the main school sample for the grade and school type (i.e., the same sampling rates as for the main school sample). The variable πdjs is the probability of selection of the diocese into the new-school diocese (d) sample. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_delta_schlsamp_wcba_mos.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 32 of 91 School Sample Sizes for 2011 Private School Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA): Frame and New School The following table presents the number of schools selected from the private school WCBA sampling frame (constructed from the Private School Universe Survey file) and the new-school sampling frame, for eighth and twelfth grade, by school type. NAEP private school frame-based and new school writing computer-based assessment (WCBA) samples, by grade and school type: 2011 Grade and private school type Total school sample Frame school sample New school sample Eighth grade All private Catholic Non-Catholic Unknown affiliation 157 50 106 1 155 48 106 1 2 2 0 0 Twelfth grade All private Catholic Non-Catholic Unknown affiliation 177 55 120 2 177 55 120 2 0 0 0 0 NOTE: Details may not sum to totals due to rounding. SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_delta_schlsamp_sampsize_wcba.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 33 of 91 Stratification of Private Schools for the 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA) Prior to stratification, the private school sampling frame was divided into grade-specific files, one each for eighth and twelfth grade. For each such grade-specific file, schools were explicitly stratified by private school affiliation (Catholic, non-Catholic, and unknown affiliation). Private school affiliation was unknown for nonrespondents to the NCES Private School Universe Survey (PSS). Within private school type, separate implicit stratification schemes were used to sort schools in certainty primary sampling units (PSUs) and noncertainty PSUs. In all cases, the implicit stratification was achieved via a serpentine sort. Within each certainty PSU, the schools were hierarchically sorted by census region, urbanization classification (urban-centric locale), and estimated grade enrollment. Schools in noncertainty PSUs were hierarchically sorted by PSU stratum, urbanization classification (urban-centric locale), and estimated grade enrollment. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_priv_wcba_strat.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 34 of 91 Student Sample Selection for the Private School 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA) For the NAEP 2011 writing computer-based assessment (WCBA), the target student sample sizes within sampled schools were the same for both eighth and twelfth grades. All students were sampled if the school had 30 or fewer students in that grade. Otherwise, a sample of 30 students was selected without replacement. The process of list submission, sampling new enrollees, and determining student eligibility and exclusion status was the same as the process used for the NAEP 2011 state student samples. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_priv_science_wcba_studsamp.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 35 of 91 Substitute Private Schools for the 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA) Substitutes were preselected for the private school samples by sorting the school frame file according to the actual order used in the sampling process (the implicit stratification). For operational reasons, the original selection order was embedded within the sampled primary sampling unit (PSU). Each sampled school had each of its nearest neighbors within the same sampling stratum on the school frame file identified as a potential substitute. When grade enrollment was used as the last sort ordering variable, the nearest neighbors had grade enrollment values very close to that of the sampled school. This was done to facilitate the selection of about the same number of students within the substitute as would have been selected from the original sampled school. Schools were disqualified as potential substitutes if they were already selected in any of the original private school samples or assigned as a substitute for another private school (earlier in the sort ordering), or if they were already selected in the original 2011 Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS) sample. TIMSS substitutes were eligible to be used as substitutes for the writing computer-based assessment (WCBA). Schools assigned as substitutes for twelfth-grade schools were disqualified as potential substitutes for eighth-grade schools. If both nearest neighbors were still eligible to be substitutes, the one with a closer grade enrollment was chosen. If both nearest neighbors were equally distant from the sampled school in their grade enrollment (an uncommon occurrence), one of the two was randomly selected. If the grade enrollment of the nearest neighbor school was less than half of the expected student sample size of the original sampled school, then it was considered ineligible as a substitute for that school. Of the approximately 330 originally sampled private schools for the WCBA, about 100 had a substitute activated because the original school, although eligible, did not participate. Ultimately, about 40 substitute private schools participated in the WCBA. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_priv_wcba_subs.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 36 of 91 Target Population of the Private School 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA) The target population for the private school 2011 writing computer-based assessment (WCBA) included all students who were enrolled in eighth and twelfth grades in private schools. The sample frame included private schools in the 50 states and the District of Columbia. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_priv_wcba_targpop.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 37 of 91 Public School 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA) The NAEP 2011 writing computer-based assessment (WCBA) sample design yielded nationally representative samples of public school students in each grade (grades 8 and 12) through a three-stage approach: selection of primary sampling units (PSUs), selection of schools within strata, and selection of students within schools. The sample of schools was selected with probability proportional to a measure of size based on the estimated grade enrollment in the schools. Target Population The 2011 WCBA was administered in both grades 8 and 12, with the goal of assessing 19,800 students in each grade. The target sample size was adjusted to reflect expected public school and student response and eligibility. Stratification of Schools Sampling Frame Schools on the sampling frame were explicitly stratified prior to sampling by PSU type (certainty/noncertainty). Within certainty PSUs, schools were implicitly stratified by census region, urban-centric locale and median household income in the zip code area where the school is located. Within noncertainty PSUs, schools were implicitly stratified by PSU stratum, urban-centric locale, and median income in the zip code area where the school is located. Sampling of Schools From the stratified frame of public schools, systematic random samples of eighth- and twelfth-grade schools were drawn with probability proportional to a measure of size based on the estimated grade enrollment of the school, in the relevant grade. Ineligible Schools Substitute Schools Student Sample Selection Each selected school in the public school samples provided a list of eligible enrolled students from which a systematic, equal probability sample of students was drawn. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_science_pub_wcba.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 38 of 91 Ineligible Public Schools for the 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA) The Common Core of Data (CCD) public school file from which most of the sampled schools were drawn corresponds to the 2007-2008 school year, 3 years prior to the assessment school year. During the intervening period, some of these schools either closed, no longer offered the grade of interest, or became ineligible for other reasons. In such cases, the sampled schools were considered to be ineligible. The table below presents unweighted counts of sampled public schools by grade and eligibility status, including the reason for ineligibility. Number of sampled public schools, writing computer-based assessment (WCBA), by eligibility status and grade: 2011 Eligibility status All eighth-grade sampled public schools Eligible schools No eligible students in grade Does not have grade School closed Not a regular school Other ineligible school Duplicate on sampling frame All twelfth-grade sampled public schools Eligible schools No eligible students in grade Does not have grade School closed Not a regular school Other ineligible school Duplicate on sampling frame Unweighted count of schools Unweighted percentage 890 841 1 12 28 8 0 0 100.00 94.49 0.11 1.35 3.15 0.90 0.00 0.00 1,200 1,100 3 13 16 30 3 0 100.00 94.57 0.25 1.09 1.34 2.51 0.25 0.00 NOTE: Detail may not add up to totals due to rounding. Percentages are based on rounded counts. SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_pub_wcba_inelg.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 39 of 91 Sampling Frame for the Public School 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA) The sampling frame for public schools was derived from the Common Core of Data (CCD) file corresponding to the 2007-2008 school year. The CCD files provided the frame for all regular public, stateoperated public,Bureau of Indian Education (BIE), and Department of Defense Domestic Dependent Elementary and Secondary Schools (DDESS) open during the 2007-2008 school year. The sampling frame was restricted to schools located in the primary sampling units (PSUs) selected for the NAEP 2011 writing computer-based assessment (WCBA). The sampling frame also excluded ungraded schools, vocational schools with no enrollment, special-education-only schools, homeschool entities, prison or hospital schools, and juvenile correctional institutions. For quality control purposes, school and student counts from the sampling frame were compared to school and student counts from previous public school frames by grade. No major discrepancies were found. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_pub_science_wcba_sampfrme.aspx Eighth- and Twelfth-Grade Schools and Enrollment in the Public School WCBA Sampling Frame New-School Sampling Frame for the Public School Writing Computer-Based Assessment 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 40 of 91 Eighth- and Twelfth-Grade Schools and Enrollment in the Public School WCBA Sampling Frame The following table presents the number of schools and estimated enrollment for the public school frame for grades 8 and 12. The unweighted estimated enrollment is restricted to the selected primary sampling units (PSUs). The weighted estimated enrollment incorporates the PSU weight (inverse of the probability of selecting the PSU), and thus is a national estimate of the number of public school students in each grade. Number of schools and enrollment in public school sampling frame, writing computer-based assessment (WCBA), by grade: 2011 Grade 8 12 School count in sampled PSUs Estimated enrollment (unweighted) Estimated enrollment (weighted) 11,379 9,068 1,952,079 1,833,707 3,635,336 3,423,860 SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_pub_sampfrme_gr_8_12.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 41 of 91 New-School Sampling Frame for the Public School Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA) The Common Core of Data (CCD) file used for the frame corresponds to the 2007-2008 school year, whereas the assessment year is the 2010-2011 school year. During this 3-year period, some schools closed, some changed structure (one school becoming two schools, for example), and others came into existence. To achieve as close to full coverage as possible, the writing computer-based assessment (WCBA) school frame was supplemented by a sample of new schools obtained from a sample of districts. Each sampled district was sent a list of the CCD schools and asked to add in any new schools or old schools that had become newly eligible for eighth or twelfth grades. Since asking every school district to list new- and newly-eligible schools would have generated too much of a burden, a sample of districts was contacted to obtain a list of new schools. To represent the unsampled districts in the full sample of schools, weights for schools included in the new-school sample were adjusted to reflect the district selection probability. As was done for the original sampling frame, the new-school sampling frame was restricted to schools located in the primary sampling units (PSUs) selected for the NAEP 2011 WCBA. Weights for schools in the new-school sample were further adjusted to account for the PSU selection probability. The goal was to allow every new school a chance of selection, thereby fully covering the target population of schools in operation during the 2008-2009 school year. The first step in this process was the development of a new-school frame through the construction of a district-level file from the CCD school-level file. To develop the frame, the district-level file was divided into two files: one for small districts and a second for medium and large districts. Small districts contained no more than three schools on the frame in total, with no more than one school at each targeted grade (fourth, eighth, and twelfth). New schools in small districts were identified during school recruitment and added to the sample if the old school was sampled. From a sampling perspective, the new school was viewed as an “annex” to the sampled school that had a well-defined probability of selection equal to that of the old school. The “frame” in this case was, in fact, the original frame; when the old school was sampled in a small district, the new school was automatically sampled as well. The remaining districts were defined as medium and large districts. In these districts, a frame of new schools was developed based on information provided by the district. To limit the required effort, the new-school frame was created through developing information on a sample of medium and large public school districts in each jurisdiction. All districts were selected in the following classes of districts: jurisdictions where all schools were sampled with certainty at either grade 8 or 12 (so that all new schools would be selected with certainty, as well), state-operated districts, districts in states with fewer than 10 districts, districts containing no schools other than charter schools, and TUDA districts. The remaining districts in each jurisdiction (excepting the certainty jurisdictions) were separated into two strata of large- and medium-size districts. These strata were defined by computing an aggregate percentage of enrollment for each district within the state (removing districts in the certainty strata defined above) and sorting in descending order by percentage of jurisdiction enrollment represented by the district. All districts up to and including the first district at or above the 80th cumulative percentage were defined as large districts. The remaining districts were defined as medium districts. An example is given below. A state's districts are ordered by percentage enrollment. The first six become large districts and the last six become medium districts. Large and medium districts example, state assessment, by enrollment, stratum, and district: 2011 District 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Percentage enrollment Cumulative percentage enrollment Stratum 20 20 15 10 10 10 5 2 2 2 2 2 20 40 55 65 75 85 90 92 94 96 98 100 L L L L L L M M M M M M SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011. The target sample size for each jurisdiction was 10 districts. Where possible, we selected 8 large and 2 medium districts. However, in the example above, since there are only 6 large districts, all of the large districts and 4 of the medium districts were selected for the new-school inquiry. If sampling was needed in the medium stratum (i.e., it was not a certainty jurisdiction), the medium districts were selected with equal probability. If sampling was needed in the large stratum, the large districts were sampled with probability proportional to enrollment. These probabilities were retained and used in all later stages of sampling and weighting, as the district probability then represented the number of other districts that were not sampled to be surveyed for new schools. The selected districts in each jurisdiction were then sent a listing of all their schools that appeared on the 2007-2008 CCD file and were asked to provide information about the new schools not included in the file and grade span changes of existing schools. These listings provided by the selected districts were used as sampling frames for selection of new public schools and updates of existing schools. This process was conducted through the NAEP State Coordinator in each jurisdiction. The coordinators were sent the information for all sampled districts in their respective states and were responsible for returning the completed updates. The eligibility of a school was determined based on the grade span. A school also was classified as “new” if a change of grade span had occurred such that the school status changed from ineligible to eligible in a particular grade. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_pub_newschoolframe_wcba.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 42 of 91 Sampling of Public Schools for the 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA) The writing computer-based assessment (WCBA) public school sample was selected with probability proportional to size, using systematic sampling from a sorted list. A school's measure of size was a complex function of the school's estimated grade enrollment. Schools were ordered within each grade, using the serpentine sort described under the stratification of public schools. A systematic sample was then drawn using this serpentine-sorted list and the measures of size. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_pub_wcba_schlsamp.aspx Computation of Measures of Size for the 2011 Public School Writing Computer-Based Assessment School Sample Sizes for 2011 Public School WCBA: Frame and New School 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 43 of 91 Computation of Measures of Size for the 2011 Public School Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA) In the design of each school sample, five objectives underlie the process of determining the probability of selection for each school and how many students are to be sampled from each selected school containing grade-eligible students: to meet the target student sample size; to select an equal-probability sample of students; to limit the number of students who are selected from a school; to ensure that the sample within a school does not include a very high percentage of the students in the school, unless all students are included; and to reduce the rate of sampling of small schools, in recognition of the greater cost and burden per student of conducting assessments in such schools. The goal in determining the school's measure of size is to optimize across the last four objectives in terms of maintaining the accuracy of estimates and the cost-effectiveness of the sample design. The following algorithm was used to assign a measure of size to each school based on its estimated grade enrollment as indicated on the sampling frame. The measures of size vary by enrollment size. The initial measures of size (MOS) were set as follows, for both eighth and twelfth grades: where xjs is the estimated grade enrollment for grade j (j = 8, 12) in school s, and PSU_WTS is the primary sampling unit (PSU) weight for school j. An adjustment to the initial measure of size was made for some schools. Schools with a high percentage of Black or Hispanic students, and schools in the PSU containing Honolulu County, had their measure of size increased by a factor of two, in order to double their probability of selection. The school measure of size was then rescaled to create an expected number of hits by applying a multiplicative constant bj, which varies by grade. For the national writing computer-based assessment (WCBA) sample, by design, a school could not be selected or "hit" in the sampling process more than once. The rescaled measure of size, Ejs, was defined as: A final adjustment was made to the measures of size (Ejs) in the national sample to attempt to reduce school burden by minimizing the number of schools selected for simultaneous administration of both the state and national studies. The NAEP 2011 studies used an adaptation of the Keyfitz process to compute conditional measures of size that, by their design, minimized the number of schools selected for the national study (WCBA) that were also selected for the state assessment or the Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS). The school's probability of selection πjs was given by: One can choose a value of bj such that the expected overall student sample yield matches the desired targets specified by the design, where the expected yield is calculated by summing the product of an individual school’s probability and its student sample yield across all schools in the frame. In addition, new and newly eligible schools were sampled from the new-school frame. The assigned measures of size for these schools, used the bj value from the main school sample for the grade (i.e., the same sampling rates as for the main school sample). The variable πdjs is the probability of selection of the district into the new-school district (d) sample. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_pub_schlsamp_wcba_mos.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 44 of 91 School Sample Sizes for 2011 Public School WCBA: Frame and New School The following table presents the number of schools selected for the 2011 public school writing computer-based assessment from the public school sampling frame and the new school sampling frame, for grades 8 and 12. NAEP public school WCBA frame-based and new school samples, by grade: 2011 Grade 8 12 Total school sample Frame school sample New school sample 890 1,200 866 1,200 24 12 NOTE: Details may not sum to totals due to rounding. SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_pub_schlsamp_sampsize_wcba.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 45 of 91 Stratification of Public Schools for the 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA) Prior to stratification, the public school sampling frame was divided into grade-specific files, one each for eighth and twelfth grade. For each grade-specific frame file, separate implicit stratification schemes were used to sort schools into certainty primary sampling units (PSUs) and noncertainty PSUs. In all cases, the implicit stratification was achieved via a "serpentine sort." For certainty PSUs, the schools were hierarchically sorted by census region, urbanization classification (urban-centric locale), and median household income in the zip code area where the school is located. Schools in noncertainty PSUs were hierarchically sorted by PSU stratum, urbanization classification (urban-centric locale), and median household income in the zip code area where the school is located. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_pub_wcba_strat.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 46 of 91 Student Sample Selection for the Public School 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA) For the NAEP 2011 writing computer-based assessment (WCBA), the target student sample sizes within sampled schools were the same for both eighth and twelfth grades. All students were sampled if the school had 30 or fewer students in that grade. Otherwise, a sample of 30 students was selected without replacement. The process of list submission, sampling students from year-round schools, sampling new enrollees, and determining student eligibility and exclusion status was the same as the process used for the NAEP 2011 state student samples. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_pub_science_wcba_studsamp.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 47 of 91 Substitute Public Schools for the 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA) Substitutes were preselected for the public school samples by sorting the school frame file according to the actual order used in the sampling process (the implicit stratification). For operational reasons, the original selection order was embedded within the sampled primary sampling unit (PSU) and state. Each sampled school had each of its nearest neighbors within the same sampling stratum on the school frame file identified as a potential substitute. When grade enrollment was used as the last sort ordering variable, the nearest neighbors had grade enrollment values very close to that of the sampled school. This was done to facilitate the selection of about the same number of students within the substitute as would have been selected from the original sampled school. Schools were disqualified as potential substitutes if they were already selected in any of the original public school samples or assigned as a substitute for another public school (earlier in the sort ordering), or if they were already selected in the original 2011 Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS) sample. TIMSS substitutes could be used as substitutes for the writing computer-based assessment (WCBA). Schools assigned as substitutes for twelfth-grade schools were disqualified as potential substitutes for eighth-grade schools. If both nearest neighbors were still eligible to be substitutes, the one with a closer grade enrollment was chosen. If both nearest neighbors were equally distant from the sampled school in their grade enrollment (an uncommon occurrence), one of the two was randomly selected. If the grade enrollment of the nearest neighbor school was less than half of the expected student sample size of the original sampled school, then it was considered ineligible as a substitute for that school. Of the approximately 2,090 originally sampled public schools for the WCBA assessment, about 30 schools had a substitute activated, because the original school, although eligible, did not participate. Ultimately, about 20 of the activated substitute public schools, all in twelfth-grade, participated in the computer-based assessment. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_pub_wcba_subs.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 48 of 91 Target Population of the Public School 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA) The target population for the 2011 public school writing computer-based assessment (WCBA) included all students who were enrolled in eighth and twelfth grades, in public schools, Bureau of Indian Education (BIE) schools, and Department of Defense Education Activity Schools (DoDEA) in the 50 states and the District of Columbia. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_pub_science_wcba_targpop.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 49 of 91 School and Student Participation Results for the 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA) Writing computer-based assessment (WCBA) participation in NAEP is not mandatory. Although a portion of the participating school sample consisted of substitute schools, it is preferable to calculate school response rates on the basis of school participation before substitution. In every NAEP survey, some of the sampled students are not assessed for the following reasons: withdrawn students, excluded students with disabilities (SD), excluded English language learner (ELL) students, or students absent from both the original session and the makeup session (not excluded but not assessed). School Response Rates for the 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment Weighted Student Response and Exclusion Rates for the 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment Withdrawn students are those who have left the school before the original assessment. Excluded students were determined by their school to be unable to meaningfully take the NAEP assessment in their assigned subject, even with an accommodation. Excluded students must also be classified as SD and/or ELL. Other students who were absent for the initial session are assessed in the makeup session. The last category includes students who were not excluded (i.e., “were to be assessed”) but were not assessed either due to absence from both sessions or because of a refusal to participate. Assessed students are also classified as assessed without an accommodation or assessed with an accommodation. The latter group can be divided into SD students assessed with an accommodation, ELL students assessed with an accommodation, or students who are both SD and ELL and accommodated. Note that some SD and ELL students are assessed without accommodations, and students who are neither SD nor ELL can only be assessed without an accommodation. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_science_results_wcba.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 50 of 91 School Response Rates for 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA) The following table presents counts of eligible sampled schools and participating schools, as well as weighted school response rates, for the writing computer-based assessment (WCBA) school sample. The weighted school response rates estimate the proportion of the student population that is represented by the participating school sample prior to substitution. School response counts and rates for public and private schools, writing computer-based assessment (WCBA), by school type, geographic region, and grade: 2011 Grade School type and geographic region Number of sample eligible schools Number of participating schools, including substitutes Weighted school response rate prior to substitution (percent) 8 National all Northeast all Midwest all South all West all National public National private Catholic Non-Catholic private 981 167 189 377 248 841 140 42 98 947 156 186 365 240 839 108 42 66 97.27 95.36 98.83 97.15 97.43 99.73 71.21 95.53 52.06 12 National all Northeast all Midwest all South all West all National public National private Catholic Non-Catholic private 1,300 233 249 468 341 1,100 160 55 105 1,200 213 245 441 318 1,100 122 50 72 93.52 91.91 96.93 94.66 89.70 96.04 67.23 76.60 58.35 NOTE: Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. Percentages are based on unrounded counts. SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_schresp_rates_wcba.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 51 of 91 Weighted Student Response and Exclusion Rates for the 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment (WCBA) The following table presents the weighted student response and exclusion rates for the writing computer-based assessment (WCBA). The exclusion rates give the percentage of students excluded among all eligible students. Excluded students must be either students with disabilities (SD) or English language learners (ELL). The response rates indicate the percentage of students assessed among those who were intended to take the assessment in participating schools. Thus, students who were excluded are not included in the denominators of the response rates. Weighted student response and exclusion rates for public and private schools, writing computer-based assessment (WCBA), by school type and geographic region and grade: 2011 Grade School type and geographic region Weighted student response rates (percent) Weighted percent of all students who are SD and excluded Weighted percent of all students who are ELL and excluded 8 National all Northeast all Midwest all South all West all National public National private Catholic Non-Catholic private 94.00 93.18 94.18 94.63 93.47 93.99 94.09 94.72 93.29 1.40 1.52 1.59 1.32 1.25 1.51 0.24 0.53 0.00 0.49 0.80 0.33 0.44 0.46 0.52 0.05 0.00 0.08 12 National all Northeast all Midwest all South all West all National public National private Catholic Non-Catholic private 86.98 84.18 86.39 88.38 87.71 86.98 87.01 85.95 88.36 2.11 1.75 2.11 2.48 1.84 2.29 0.24 0.11 0.36 0.35 0.43 0.15 0.32 0.51 0.38 0.03 0.00 0.06 NOTE: SD = students with disabilities; ELL = English language learners. SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 Writing Computer-Based Assessment. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_science_wcba_stud_resp.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 52 of 91 Selection of Primary Sampling Units for the 2011 WCBA and MCBS Assessments For the writing computer-based assessment (WCBA) and mathematics computer-based study (MCBS), a sample of 105 primary sampling units (PSUs) was drawn from a frame of PSUs based on current Census information. After the PSU frame was created, 29 certainty PSUs (those with measures of size large enough that it is efficient to take them with probability of selection equal to 1) were identified and set aside. Stratification of the noncertainty PSUs (the remaining PSUs with probabilities of selection strictly less than 1) was carried out after analysis of Census 2000 data and NAEP 2000 achievement scores identified the stratification variables. This analysis identified the set of PSU-level, Census-based variables that had as much association with NAEP assessment scores as possible. The intent was that the results of this analysis and stratification would be used for multiple design years and subject matter. The results were used previously in 2006, 2008, 2009, and 2010. Periodically, this analysis and stratification will be conducted according to the availability of Census data and key assessment scores. Measures of size and probabilities of selection were defined for each PSU, and a stratified systematic sample of PSUs was drawn. For WCBA and MCBS, 76 noncertainty PSUs were selected. The PSUs on the frame satisfied the following criteria: PSU Generation: Metropolitan Statistical Areas PSU Generation: Certainty PSUs PSU Generation: Non-Metropolitan Statistical Areas PSU Frame: Stratification Final PSU Sample The PSU sampling frame included all U.S. states and the District of Columbia, but excluded the U.S. territories and Puerto Rico; PSUs consisted of one county or contiguous multiple counties; Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) were designated as separate PSUs even with their large size, as they were sufficiently compact in terms of their travel costs (due to higher levels of transportation infrastructure); PSUs did not cross Census region boundaries; PSUs did not cross state boundaries, in general; Non-MSA PSUs in the Northeast and South Census regions had a minimum population of 15,000 youths (age 0 to 17 inclusive), and in the Midwest and West Census regions had a minimum population of 10,000 youths, in general, according to the 2003 U.S. Census Bureau's Population Estimates Program; and Non-MSA PSUs were to be of minimum size (defined in terms of maximum distance between points—a rough proxy for travel time) while still satisfying the minimum population constraints. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_wcba_mcbs_psu_selection.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 53 of 91 Final Primary Sampling Unit (PSU) Sample for the 2011 Assessments For the writing computer-based assessment (WCBA) and mathematics computer-based study (MCBS), a primary sampling unit (PSU) sample was drawn independently from each of the 76 noncertainty strata defined in Final Primary Sampling Unit Strata. One PSU was selected with probability proportionate to size (with size equal to estimated number of youths) within each stratum. The selection of the noncertainty PSUs was designed to minimize the overlap with the 2008 LTT sample, the 2009 science sample, and the 2010 sample. Also, 29 PSUs were included in the sample of PSUs with certainty. Distribution of sampled PSUs, computer-based writing and mathematics assessments, by PSU type: 2011 PSU type Number of sampled PSUs Total Census region Northeast Midwest South West Certainty/metropolitan status Certainty metropolitan Noncertainty metropolitan Noncertainty non-metropolitan 105 15 23 42 25 29 54 22 SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 National Assessment. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_psu_finalsample.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 54 of 91 Primary Sampling Unit (PSU) Generation: Certainty PSUs for the 2011 Assessments Any primary sampling unit (PSU) was defined as a certainty PSU if it had 500,000 or more youths. The estimated number of youths is the number of persons age 17 or under from the 2008 U.S. Census Bureau's Population Estimates Program.1 These PSUs were so large that a sample of schools was taken from all of them (rather than from only a subsample of them, as with noncertainty PSUs). There were two exceptions to the 500,000 cutoff. The Honolulu, Hawaii, and Washington, D.C., PSUs were included as certainties by design: Honolulu, Hawaii in order to reduce the variability of including Native Hawaiian students, and Washington, D.C., as it is essentially a part of the larger MD-VA-DC Washington area PSU. A total of 29 PSUs were classified as certainties in the 2011 frame. The table below provides a listing of the certainty PSUs by census region. Metropolitan statistical area (MSA) definition for certainty PSUs, by primary sampling unit (PSU): 2011 Primary sampling unit (PSU) Number of counties Number of youths Grand total Metropolitan statistical area (MSA) State 203 30,407,927 Total Northeast 1--1 1--2 1--3 1--4 1--5 6,753,238 903,391 1,518,504 2,915,787 481,884 933,672 Boston-Cambridge-Quincy New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island Pittsburgh Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington MA NJ-PA NY PA PA 40 5 13 10 7 5 Chicago-Naperville-Joliet Detroit-Warren-Livonia Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington St. Louis Cleveland-Elyria-Mentor IL MI MN MO OH 40 9 6 11 9 5 5,113,204 2,231,409 1,089,901 782,054 519,876 489,964 Total South 3--1 3--2 3--3 3--4 3--5 3--6 3--7 3--8 3--9 3--10 Washington-Arlington-Alexandria Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Miami Beach Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta Washington-Arlington-Alexandria Baltimore-Towson San Antonio Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington Washington-Arlington-Alexandria DC FL FL GA MD MD TX TX TX VA 93 1 4 3 28 5 7 8 10 12 15 9,089,075 112,016 592,372 1,204,361 1,443,448 546,557 629,656 561,126 1,615,543 1,755,255 628,741 Total West 4--1 4--2 4--3 4--4 4--5 4--6 4--7 4--8 4--9 Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale Sacramento--Arden-Arcade--Roseville San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana Denver-Aurora Honolulu Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue AZ CA CA CA CA CA CO HI WA 30 2 4 1 5 2 2 10 1 3 9,452,410 1,168,524 519,855 744,470 923,680 1,174,107 3,314,817 637,268 199,268 770,421 Total Midwest 2--1 2--2 2--3 2--4 2--5 SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 National Assessment. 1 The U.S. Census Bureau's Population Estimates Program (http://www.Census.gov/popest/) yearly publishes total resident population estimates by demographics such as age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin for the nation, states, and counties. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_psu_certainty.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 55 of 91 Primary Sampling Unit Frame: Stratification for the 2011 Assessments The noncertainty primary sampling unit (PSU) strata were initially determined by census region and metropolitan status (metropolitan or non-metropolitan)—a total of eight primary strata. Measures of size were defined for each of these strata, determined by the relative share of the eventual PSU sample (the sample size is designed to be proportional to the number of youths). The PSU stratum measure of size then is the total number of youths in the stratum. The table below presents these counts for each of the eight primary strata. The relative share of the PSU sample size for each stratum is the number of youths in the stratum divided by the total number of youths, multiplied by 76 (the total noncertainty PSU strata for the writing computer-based assessment [WCBA] and mathematics computer-based study [MCBS]). The results of these calculations are given in the table below. Stepwise Regression Analysis Results for PSU Stratification Final PSU Strata Noncertainty primary sampling unit (PSU) frame size statistics, by primary stratum: 2011 Primary stratum PSUs Counties Youths Target number of PSU strata Set number of PSU strata Youths per PSU stratum Total noncertainty PSUs Northeast Region Metropolitan Northeast Region Non-Metropolitan Midwest Region Metropolitan Midwest Region Non-Metropolitan South Region Metropolitan South Region Non-Metropolitan West Region Metropolitan West Region Non-Metropolitan 1,040 46 50 100 249 153 269 71 102 2,937 83 94 246 769 458 872 101 314 43,533,921 4,531,012 1,098,293 7,458,159 3,505,128 13,269,054 5,190,589 6,803,588 1,678,098 76.0 7.9 1.9 13.0 6.1 23.2 9.1 11.9 2.9 76 8 2 12 6 22 10 12 4 572,815 566,377 549,147 621,513 584,188 603,139 519,059 566,966 419,525 SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 National Assessment. The division of the primary strata into the final strata was done on a stratum-by-stratum basis. The criteria for good PSU strata were: (1) the strata should have as equal measures of size as possible, which reduces sampling variance, and (2) the strata should be as heterogeneous in measured achievement as possible (i.e., there should be strata with low mean achievement, strata with mid-level mean achievement, and strata with high mean achievement). This second criterion also ultimately reduces the variance of the assessment estimates since the final PSU sample will be balanced in terms of assessment means. PSU assessment means from the current year cannot be used, as assessments are only conducted after sampling is completed. Information is available about PSU sociodemographic characteristics in advance, however. An analysis was done within each primary stratum to find sociodemographic variables that were good predictors of the NAEP 2000 mathematics and science assessment results. Using these sociodemographic variables to define strata should increase the chance of having efficient strata definitions. The page Stepwise Regression Analysis Results for PSU Stratification describes this analysis for each primary stratum. The final step in stratification was to define the desired number of strata using the selected stratifiers while constructing strata that were as close to equal size as possible (with size defined by number of youths). The objective was to establish strata that had a high between-stratum variance for the stratifiers (i.e., which "spread out" the stratifiers as much as possible). These strata are given on the page Final PSU Strata. http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/tdw/sample_design/2011/2011_samp_natl_psu_framestrat.aspx 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 56 of 91 Final Primary Sampling Unit (PSU) Strata for the 2011 Assessments The strata were defined using the selected stratifiers from the stepwise regression analysis (see Stepwise Regression Analysis Results for PSU Stratification). The cutoffs were selected so that roughly equal measures of size were represented by each stratum. Stratification for Northeast metropolitan noncertainty primary sampling units (PSUs), national assessment, by stratum: 2011 Stratum Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Mean Primary stratifier Secondary stratifier PSUs Measure of size † Percent child poverty <=10.1% Percent child poverty <=10.1% 10.1%< Percent child poverty <=12.5% 10.1%< Percent child poverty <=12.5% 12.5%< Percent child poverty <=13.4% 13.4%< Percent child poverty <=15.1% 15.1%< Percent child poverty <=17% 17%< Percent child poverty <=20.7% † † Percent Black <=15.9% 15.9%< Percent Black <=27.7% Percent Black <=14.9% 14.9%< Percent Black <=38.2% † † † † † 46 8 2 7 4 5 7 5 8 † 4,531,012 572,628 533,970 578,198 624,044 543,994 574,735 516,879 586,564 566,377 † Not applicable. SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 National Assessment. Stratification for Northeast non-metropolitan noncertainty primary sampling units (PSUs), national assessment, by stratum: 2011 Stratum Total 1 2 Mean Primary stratifier PSUs Measure of size † Percent child poverty <=15.7% 15.7%< Percent child poverty <=22.8% † 50 22 28 † 1,098,293 544,762 553,531 549,147 † Not applicable. SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 National Assessment. Stratification for Midwest metropolitan noncertainty primary sampling units (PSUs), national assessments, by stratum: 2011 Stratum Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Mean Primary stratifier Secondary stratifier Tertiary stratifier PSUs Measure of size † Percent child poverty <=12.5% Percent child poverty <=12.5% Percent child poverty <=12.5% Percent child poverty <=12.5% Percent child poverty <=12.5% Percent child poverty <=12.5% 12.5%< Percent child poverty <=12.9% 12.9%< Percent child poverty <=14.5% 12.9%< Percent child poverty <=14.5% 14.5%< Percent child poverty <=27.6% 14.5%< Percent child poverty <=27.6% 14.5%< Percent child poverty <=27.6% † † † † † † † † † † † Med HH Income <=$38,291 $38,291< Med HH Income <=$46,460 $38,291< Med HH Income <=$46,460 † † Pct Asian <=1.1% 1.1%< Pct Asian <=1.4% 1.4%< Pct Asian <=2.4% 2.4%< Pct Asian <=2.6% 2.6%< Pct Asian <=3.4% 3.4%< Pct Asian <=10.3% † Pct Asian <=1.3% 1.3%< Pct Asian <=2.7% † Pct Asian <=0.9% 0.9%< Pct Asian <=3.1% † 100 17 4 8 3 7 13 6 7 7 17 7 4 † 7,458,159 623,684 668,332 598,589 706,518 602,499 618,908 619,810 623,599 602,409 603,071 569,605 621,135 621,513 † Not applicable. SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 National Assessment. Stratification for Midwest non-metropolitan noncertainty primary sampling units (PSUs), national assessment, by stratum: 2011 Stratum Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 Mean Primary stratifier Secondary stratifier Tertiary stratifier PSUs Measure of size † Percent child poverty <=15.7% Percent child poverty <=15.7% Percent child poverty <=15.7% Percent child poverty <=15.7% 15.7%< Percent child poverty <=45.5% 15.7%< Percent child poverty <=45.5% † † Percent college grd <=12.5% 12.5%< Percent college grd <=36.0% 12.5%< Percent college grd <=36.0% 12.5%< Percent college grd <=36.0% Percent college grd <=13.2% 13.2%< Percent college grd <=23.0% † † † Pct BHI <=4.2% 4.2%< Pct BHI <=8.5% 8.5%< Pct BHI <=41.4% † † † 249 41 42 42 38 41 45 † 3,505,128 577,244 577,144 582,552 591,909 584,830 591,449 584,188 † Not applicable. SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 National Assessment. Stratification for South metropolitan noncertainty primary sampling units (PSUs), national assessment, by stratum: 2011 Stratum Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Primary stratifier Secondary stratifier Tertiary stratifier PSUs Measure of size † Percent child poverty <=22.7% Percent child poverty <=22.7% Percent child poverty <=22.7% Percent child poverty <=22.7% Percent child poverty <=22.7% Percent child poverty <=22.7% Percent child poverty <=22.7% Percent child poverty <=22.7% Percent child poverty <=22.7% Percent child poverty <=22.7% Percent child poverty <=22.7% Percent child poverty <=22.7% Percent child poverty <=22.7% Percent child poverty <=22.7% Percent child poverty <=22.7% † Percent Black <=39.7% Percent Black <=39.7% Percent Black <=39.7% Percent Black <=39.7% Percent Black <=39.7% Percent Black <=39.7% Percent Black <=39.7% Percent Black <=39.7% Percent Black <=39.7% Percent Black <=39.7% Percent Black <=39.7% Percent Black <=39.7% Percent Black <=39.7% Percent Black <=39.7% Percent Black <=39.7% † Percent Hispanic <=1.7% 1.7%< Percent Hispanic <=2.6% 2.6%< Percent Hispanic <=2.7% 2.7%< Percent Hispanic <=3.0% 3.0%< Percent Hispanic <=3.5% 3.5%< Percent Hispanic <=4.2% 4.2%< Percent Hispanic <=4.8% 4.8%< Percent Hispanic <=5.5% 5.5%< Percent Hispanic <=7.3% 7.3%< Percent Hispanic <=8.5% 8.5%< Percent Hispanic <=9.1% 9.1%< Percent Hispanic <=11.2% 11.2%< Percent Hispanic <=14.6% 14.6%< Percent Hispanic <=21.1% 21.1%< Percent Hispanic <=30.8% 153 17 11 3 8 8 5 4 6 8 5 3 7 8 6 5 13,269,054 596,069 630,434 578,311 571,617 663,600 655,658 626,966 518,112 589,272 531,498 701,272 700,785 571,531 548,529 691,494 † Not applicable. SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 National Assessment. 7/22/2016 2:27 PM 57 of 91 Stratum Primary stratifier Stratum 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Mean Secondary stratifier Tertiary stratifier PSUs Measure of size Primary stratifier Secondary stratifier Tertiary stratifier PSUs Measure of size Percent child poverty <=22.7% Percent child poverty <=22.7% Percent child poverty <=22.7% 22.7%< Percent child poverty <=24.3% 24.3%< Percent child poverty <=45.7% 24.3%< Percent child poverty <=45.7% 24.3%< Percent child poverty <=45.7% † Percent Black <=39.7% 39.7%< Percent Black <=56.6% 39.7%< Percent Black <=56.6% † Percent Black <=2.0% 2.0%< Percent Black <=60.8% 2.0%< Percent Black <=60.8% † 30.8%< Percent Hispanic <=51.2% Percent Hispanic <=2.7% 2.7%< Percent Hispanic <=7.8% † † Percent Hispanic <=3.8% 3.8%< Percent Hispanic <=64.1% † 7 6 6 11 4 10 5 † 710,494 547,257 655,387 498,732 712,425 494,418 475,193 603,139 † Not applicable. SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 National Assessment. Stratification for South non-metropolitan noncertainty primary sampling units (PSUs), national assessment, by stratum: 2011 Stratum Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Mean Primary stratifier Secondary stratifier Tertiary stratifier PSUs Measure of size † Percent Black <=31.2% Percent Black <=31.2% Percent Black <=31.2% Percent Black <=31.2% Percent Black <=31.2% Percent Black <=31.2% Percent Black <=31.2% 31.2%< Percent Black <=51.3% 31.2%< Percent Black <=51.3% 51.3%< Percent Black <=79.4% † † Median HH income <=$36,049 Median HH income <=$36,049 Median HH income <=$36,049 Median HH income <=$36,049 Median HH income <=$36,049 Median HH income <=$36,049 $36,049< Median HH income <=$54,721 Median HH income <=$29,555 $29,555< Median HH income <=$44,421 † † † Percent Asian <=0.2% 0.2%< Percent Asian <0.3% Percent Asian =0.3% 0.3%< Percent Asian <=0.4% 0.4%< Percent Asian <=0.7% 0.7%< Percent Asian <=3.0% † † † † † 269 32 29 32 29 26 26 21 25 22 27 † 5,190,589 511,172 515,004 520,184 510,176 538,940 542,335 551,780 513,918 499,209 487,871 519,059 † Not applicable. SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 National Assessment. Stratification for West metropolitan noncertainty primary sampling units (PSUs), national assessment, by stratum: 2011 Stratum Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Mean Primary stratifier Secondary stratifier PSUs Measure of size † Percent high school graduates <=70% Percent high school graduates <=70% 70%< Percent high school graduates <=78.9% 78.9%< Percent high school graduates <=79.6% 79.6%< Percent high school graduates <=88.3% 79.6%< Percent high school graduates <=88.3% 79.6%< Percent high school graduates <=88.3% 79.6%< Percent high school graduates <=88.3% 79.6%< Percent high school graduates <=88.3% 79.6%< Percent high school graduates <=88.3% 88.3%< Percent high school graduates <=90.1% 90.1%< Percent high school graduates <=93.1% † † Percent college graduates <=13.5% 13.5%< Percent college graduates <=22.5% † † Percent college graduates <=21.8% 21.8%< Percent college graduates <=25.5% 25.5%< Percent college graduates <=26.9% 26.9%< Percent college graduates <=27.8% 27.8%< Percent college graduates <=30.3% 30.3%< Percent college graduates <=39.5% † † † 71 7 4 6 3 14 8 4 3 3 3 8 8 † 6,803,588 635,482 508,977 513,746 656,056 559,117 587,808 525,628 583,877 557,408 527,923 556,141 591,425 555,966 † Not applicable. SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2011 National Assessment. Stratification for West non-metropolitan noncertainty primary sampling units (PSUs), national assessment, by stratum: 2011 Stratum Total 1 2 3 4 Mean Primary stratifier Secondary stratifier Tertiary stratifier PSUs Measure of Size † Percent college graduates <=21% Percent college graduates <=21% Percent college graduates <=21% 21%< Percent college graduates <=42.6% † † Percent child poverty <=17.3% 17.3%
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